This spreadsheet proves… er, nothing
This is what I do when I’m bored at work: make bad spreadsheets. I wanted to see if there was a pattern with bids on Trophies from Col25–in the sense that they get more expensive as the night goes on, or they decrease in value, etc. It’d help me game when to bid dkp on a Trophy and get it as cheaply as possible.
X-axis is position of Trophy (1 drops from Beasts, 2 from Jaraxxus, etc.) and Y-axis is the relative cost of the trophy with 1 being the least expensive of the night and 5 the most.
As you can see there’s no real discernible pattern in bids aside from (I guess) the first week being a rush for them, then second week people trying to play it smart so waiting until the last one of the night but really driving up the price, and then in the third week the reverse happening because everyone assuming the same pattern would hold and the first one would go for cheap.
And, if you’ll indulge me the hypothesis, once we hit the fourth charted week, people gave up looking for patterns and bid whenever.
Of course, that’s all conjecture! Maybe in a few more weeks when I have more data this will make a little more sense.
Armory Feed
this comic proves our buff/nerf rollercoaster:
http://cad-comic.com/comic.php?d=20090916
I’ll let you all figure it out…
@Rhidach
18 September 2009 at 8:09 am #
@Logan: Hilarious!
@Criven: Seems like a fair assessment to me.
I can’t see all the data (just what you’ve presented) but the take home message seems to be “don’t bid on the first or last trophy of the night”.
@Criven: I would rather say: “bid on the first or last trophy to inflate it´s price, then grab the next one for less”
I have to say it…..NERD!!!!!!
@Rhidach
18 September 2009 at 1:44 pm #
Fal, YOU of all people cannot talk about using spreadsheets in WoW. :P
hmmm. Logan, that’s not necessarily a good plan. You’re counting on people bidding over you so you don’t lose resources – and the payoff is depletion of someone who probably wouldn’t be competing against you on the next trophy anyhow.